Election Stats

January 20, 2008

Real Statisticians look at the NH primary

Filed under: diebold, new hampshire — Brian @ 9:36 pm

Some professional statisticians have taken a look at this data and determined that there are no significant correlations between the counting method and Clinton winning, when taking other variables into account. These other variables include location, past voting, affluence, and others.

http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2008/01/voting_technolo.html

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3 Comments »

  1. […] bookmarks tagged real Real Statisticians look at the NH primary saved by 1 others     PsychoOriginals bookmarked on 01/21/08 | […]

    Pingback by Pages tagged "real" — January 20, 2008 @ 10:01 pm

  2. Did the real statisticians consider the published evidence that there may have been similar election fraud in previous New Hampshire elections also? If not then they do us a tremendous disservice. The people in this country are divine and trusting– the actions of our politicians and media do not warrant the faith we place in them.

    Comment by John — January 21, 2008 @ 8:56 am

  3. Their study did in fact rely on many previous elections – some (many) from before they even had the Diebold counting machines. It seems pretty convincing to me.

    While there may have been some fraud or sloppiness, I don’t know, but I don’t see any strong statistical evidence it was of the type where they systematically undercounted one candidate vs. another in lots and lots of townships. The recount is showing 2 or 3 wards with some very odd results, but all the other wards seem to be well within the margin of error, and I doubt that anyone could be so competent, organized and discreet enough to adjust all the paper ballots in so many different wards to match the electronic results (assuming they programmed a miscount).

    Comment by Brian — January 21, 2008 @ 9:20 am


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