Election Stats

January 29, 2008

Florida Primary – preparing to follow results

Filed under: florida — Brian @ 10:51 am

Wow! The Florida SOS has set up a really great website to report the results for today’s primary. Interestingly, of their 67 counties, 14 use touch-screen voting machines. Also, in addition to absentee and polling place voting, they have early-voting where you can go to a nearby govt office and cast your vote up to 2 weeks before today.

They even have a way to just download the data in a tab-delimited file (see link on left hand side of their page)! Luckily, they don’t care if you fill out the form with a GET or POST, so here is a direct link (you can use wget, too):

http://enight.dos.state.fl.us/ResultsExtract.Asp?ElectionDate=01/29/2008&OfficialResults=N&PartyRaces=Y&DataMode=E

County election offices.

I made a script to calculate the predicted totals, based on differing voting patterns in different counties.

One thing I always like to do here at home in Washington State is get the early returns and use the differences in county voting patterns to extrapolate the totals for the whole state (based on estimates of turnout). This is usually interesting in WA because we have a large chunk of people who vote absentee, but the law here only requires the ballots to be MAILED by election day, so we end up waiting a few days to see how the election ends up. In a close race with lots of absentees, we have a lot of elections dragging out for days.

In Florida, there are also a lot of absentee ballots, but they are required to have them ARRIVE by election day (I think). So, perhaps the first reports on the Florida website will have all the absentees in one batch. This makes it easier to see if there are differences in voting patterns between the absentees and the poll voters.

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1 Comment »

  1. I am very glad I found your blog on yahoo. Thanks for the sensible critique. Me and my husband were just preparing to do some research about this. I am very glad to see such great information being shared freely out there.
    Regards,
    Amaro from Dallas city

    Comment by Adnan — February 24, 2010 @ 5:59 am


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