Election Stats

October 21, 2008

Election night prediction tool

Filed under: voting — Brian @ 10:36 pm

I am currently updating a tool I wrote which can help to make projections on election night.  I used it during the primaries and it simply takes the current vote tallies per county, along with the “% precincts counted” and then extrapolates each county individually to arrive at the totals for the whole state.  This can be super helpful in cases where a big city may only have 10% of the votes counted whereas the rest of the state might already be 90% done – in which case the overall numbers will have a big skew away from the city voting patterns.

Anyway, subscribe to my feed and I’ll post a link here when it is ready.  And, obviously it will only be useful for a couple hours on Nov 4th – less than 20 days away!

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